Classic Cars & Rare Watches

Classic Car Investing

Rally, Collecting Cars, Hagerty indices, and platform access.

Investment Overview

Classic car investing targets appreciation of vintage automobiles (pre-1980s) and modern collectibles (limited-production supercars), combining asset appreciation (5-10% annually for blue-chip) with driving enjoyment. Investment focus: Ferrari (250 GTO, F40, Daytona), Porsche (911 vintage, 356), Mercedes (300SL Gullwing), Shelby Cobra. Market size: $20B collectible car market. Access: Direct purchase ($100K-$50M), fractional platforms (Rally $10 minimums), or indirect via car-focused funds. HAGI Top Index (50 rarest cars) returned +134% (2014-2024) = 9% CAGR. Returns concentrated in top 1%: Ferrari 250 GTO appreciated $10M (2000) to $70M (2024) = 10% CAGR.

Market Context & Trends

Classic car market peaked 2014-2015 (Ferrari 250 GTO $52M record), corrected 2016-2019 (-10-20%), recovered 2020-2024 as UHNW buyers sought tangible assets. Key insight: Top 50 cars (HAGI Top Index) appreciated 9% annually; next 500 cars (HAGI mainstream) 3% annually; rest flat or declining. Bifurcation: Limited-production supercars (Ferrari LaFerrari, Porsche 918) appreciated 50-100% since release; mass-production classics (1960s Mustangs) declined -20-30%. Investment thesis: Scarcity + desirability + drivability = value. Ferrari 250 GTO (36 produced) will never depreciate; 1 million Mustangs produced = oversupply.

How to Invest in Classic Car Investing

1

Rally: Fractional classic cars, $10 minimums, 1995 Porsche 911 GT2 up 140% (2020-2024)

2

Hagerty Drivers Club: Car valuations, marketplace, insurance, not direct investment but research tool

3

RM Sotheby's Auctions: Premier auction house, $400M+ annual sales, 12-15% buyer's premium

4

Direct purchase: Specialist dealers, auctions, private sales, $100K-$50M depending on car

5

Private car funds: Institutional ($10M+ minimums), limited retail access

Key Platforms & Access Points

Rally: Fractional car ownership, $10 minimums, 50+ cars (Porsche, Ferrari, Shelby, BMW M)

Hagerty: Valuations, marketplace, insurance, 2M+ members, Price Guide industry standard

RM Sotheby's: Premier auction house, Monterey Car Week ($400M+ sales annually)

Gooding & Company: Pebble Beach auctions, $100M+ annual sales, 10% buyer's premium

Bring a Trailer: Online auction platform, $1B+ annual sales, $5K-$500K cars (more accessible)

Key Investment Metrics

Production numbers: <100 produced = rare and valuable; >10,000 produced = oversupply

Condition: Concours (show-quality) worth 2-3x driver condition; numbers-matching (original engine/trans) critical

Provenance: Celebrity ownership, racing history add 20-50% premiums (Steve McQueen's cars)

HAGI benchmark: Compare to HAGI Top Index (9% CAGR) or HAGI Mainstream (3% CAGR)

Maintenance costs: 3-5% of value annually for classic Ferraris, 2-3% for Porsche; factor into returns

Risk Considerations

Understanding these risks is critical before investing in classic car investing.

  • Maintenance costs: 3-5% of value annually (Ferrari), 2-3% (Porsche); erodes returns significantly
  • Market timing: 2014-2015 peak saw Ferrari F40 $2.5M; 2024 corrected to $1.8M (-28%)
  • Driving vs. storing: Driven cars lose 20-30% value vs. stored (mileage increases); trade-off enjoyment vs. returns
  • Regulatory risk: Emissions regulations, classic car bans in cities threaten usability
  • Concentration: Single car = binary outcome; Rally diversifies across 50+ cars to reduce risk

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